Urban & Economy

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State-ownership policy: Sweet talking the IMF into privatization mirage

Urban & Economy_

Four years after promising a $40 billion privatization drive, Egypt’s government doused the IMF’s ambition in bureaucratic quicksand while shielding military assets.

Beesan Kassab_

State-ownership policy: Sweet talking the IMF into privatization mirage

Samir Radwan: The soft-spoken economist with sound policies

Urban & Economy_

A tribute to the Keynesian economist who spent seven months as finance minister after the revolution, fighting for wages and transparency against the market’s old guard.

Salma Hussein_

Samir Radwan: The soft-spoken economist with sound policies

Fare hikes without brakes: Runaway debt derails Egypt’s railway reform

Urban & Economy_

Mounting debt service and rising fuel costs have pushed Egyptian National Railways back into the loss cycle, erasing a brief 2025 surplus and triggering fresh ticket price hikes.

Mohamed Ismail_

Fare hikes without brakes: Runaway debt derails Egypt’s railway reform

The ‘new’ North Coast: Exclusion comes home to roost

Urban & Economy_

The Marassi uproar exposes a deeper shift. As Egypt courts foreign buyers, the North Coast is being redesigned to exclude Egyptians, rich and poor alike.

Amr Adly_

The ‘new’ North Coast: Exclusion comes home to roost

Cotton Specters| Agriculture and the making of Egyptian dependency

Urban & Economy_

Integrating into global value chains extracted billions of labor-hours and cubic meters of water from Egypt, cementing a deep, historic pattern of structural unequal exchange.

Osama Diab_

Cotton Specters| Agriculture and the making of Egyptian dependency

Egypt’s war prep: The strait, the barrel, and the loaf of bread

Urban & Economy_

To survive the incoming shocks, Egypt must fundamentally restructure its crop patterns, enforce strict energy rationing, and abandon its reliance on energy-intensive exports.

Amr Adly_

Egypt’s war prep: The strait, the barrel, and the loaf of bread

Explainer| How does the new ration system work?

Urban & Economy_

As Egypt restructures its food subsidy system, public backlash mounts over sudden exclusions, bread price hikes, and the erosion of cash support value by inflation.

Abdelmageed Mohamed_

Explainer| How does the new ration system work?

Gold in central bank vaults: A mask for crisis, not a lifeline

Urban & Economy_

45% of central banks expect higher gold reserves. Gold’s share has doubled since 2021, raising questions about the dollar’s long-term dominance.

Amr Adly_

Gold in central bank vaults: A mask for crisis, not a lifeline

Designed to exclude: The commodification of Egypt’s public space

Urban & Economy_

If an able bodied man struggles to walk, rest, or simply exist in the city; what chance do women, children, the elderly, and people with disabilities have?

Mohamed Elsayed Eid_

Designed to exclude: The commodification of Egypt’s public space

Why did remittances from Egyptians abroad rise during the war?

Urban & Economy_

War fears, labor uncertainty and a weaker pound drove a surge in Egyptians' remittances, helping cushion the currency and bolster dollar inflows.

Hager Atteya_

Why did remittances from Egyptians abroad rise during the war?

The structural trap of credit-fueled consumption

Urban & Economy_

While installment apps artificially boost purchasing power, fueling retail demand in an import-dependent economy inevitably deepens Egypt’s chronic trade deficit.

Amr Adly_

The structural trap of credit-fueled consumption

War clouds Egypt’s interest-rate path

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s central bank is expected to hold rates as war-driven price pressures complicate its easing plans and raise the risk of tighter policy later this year.

Hager Atteya_

War clouds Egypt’s interest-rate path

New oil and gas discoveries: more than hot air?

Urban & Economy_

Egypt keeps announcing new oil and gas finds, but most are too small to reverse falling output or curb costly energy imports.

Laila El-Abd_

New oil and gas discoveries: more than hot air?

TMG’s Spine and the concrete ambitions of Egypt’s biggest bank

Urban & Economy_

NBE’s stake in TMG’s The Spine project raises questions over banks’ growing appetite for luxury real estate and the risks of chasing high-end demand.

Hager Atteya_

TMG’s Spine and the concrete ambitions of Egypt’s biggest bank

Egypt's fuel subsidies: Priced for wishful thinking

Urban & Economy_

Cairo’s budget pegs oil at $75 despite $119 spot prices. Slashed subsidies and fiscal targets signal imminent fuel price hikes as Egypt moves to meet IMF energy commitments.

Sarah Abdelmofeed_

Egypt's fuel subsidies: Priced for wishful thinking

Fertilizers: An industry profiting under fire

Urban & Economy_

While energy prices soar, Egypt’s fertilizer giants are turning wartime disruption into record profits, leaving farmers and citizens to bear the brunt of rising food inflation.

Hager Atteya_

Fertilizers: An industry profiting under fire

Explainer| How Egypt avoided a dollar crisis during the Iran conflict

Urban & Economy_

Despite an estimated $8 billion in hot money outflows, exchange rate flexibility and robust dollar reserves shielded the Egyptian economy from another liquidity collapse like 2022.

Mohamed Gad_

Explainer| How Egypt avoided a dollar crisis during the Iran conflict

Trump burns Gulf capital, not just its oil

Urban & Economy_

As conflict disrupts energy exports, Gulf monarchies may be forced to liquidate Western assets to cover domestic shortfalls, in a self-inflicted wound to the US economy.

Amr Adly_

Trump burns Gulf capital, not just its oil

Egypt's emergency rations: Who is poor enough to count?

Urban & Economy_

In homes balanced on pensions, credit and charity, exclusion from a 400-pound grant reveals a deeper crisis of opacity and neglect.

Omneya Qalawoun_

Egypt's emergency rations: Who is poor enough to count?

Egypt’s debt trap tightens as war on Iran bites

Urban & Economy_

War-related shocks are exposing the fragility of Egypt’s recent economic gains, with rising import costs and weaker inflows reviving borrowing pressure.

Doaa Elsayed_

Egypt’s debt trap tightens as war on Iran bites

Explainer| Egypt enters the derivatives era, but what are they?

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s exchange is set to launch derivatives in March, starting with EGX30 futures. Here’s how they work, who benefits, and why leverage can cut both ways.

Hager Atteya_

Explainer| Egypt enters the derivatives era, but what are they?

What stalled Egypt's monorail, and who pays?

Urban & Economy_

Weeks after its expected launch, the New Capital monorail remains idle. Internal sources reveal that accumulated delays have cost the state at least 45 billion Egyptian pounds.

Mohamed Ismail_

What stalled Egypt's monorail, and who pays?

“Egypt’s Future” on the backs of peasants

Urban & Economy_

Transformations routinely presented as hallmarks of modernization and efficiency amount to a slow dismantling of the countryside’s capacity to reproduce its own life in practice.

Saker El Nour_

“Egypt’s Future” on the backs of peasants

The Zohr pipedream: Egypt's enduring gas gap

Urban & Economy_

Eni’s $8B pledge revives hopes for Egypt’s gas comeback, but insiders say there’s no new Zohr, and the giant field won’t return to peak output.

Laila El-Abd_

The Zohr pipedream: Egypt's enduring gas gap

Debt swaps and the devil in the details

Urban & Economy_

Egypt is moving past "quick fix" land sales like Ras El-Hekma to historic debt swaps. But is the $8B China deal a developmental win or a Sri Lanka-style risk?

Doaa Elsayed_

Debt swaps and the devil in the details

Buried in paperwork, Egypt’s gold incentives fail to glitter

Urban & Economy_

Egypt pitched new incentives to lure gold explorers, but the Sukari mine’s discoverer calls them cosmetic. Experts want transparent rules and predictable costs.

Laila El-Abd_

Buried in paperwork, Egypt’s gold incentives fail to glitter

Why Egypt’s budget problem isn’t subsidies

Urban & Economy_

Are subsidies really to blame for Egypt’s economic crisis? A closer look at budgets, debt, and IMF prescriptions reveals where the real pressure on public finances lies.

Elhamy Elmerghany_

Why Egypt’s budget problem isn’t subsidies

Unemployment may be falling, but labor market tells a deeper story

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s jobless rate dipped to 6.1% in Q2 2025, but shrinking cohorts and a mass exit from the labor force, especially among women, mask weak job quality and a coming youth surge.

Mohamed Gad_

Unemployment may be falling, but labor market tells a deeper story

Will GEM deliver the promised tourism boom?

Urban & Economy_

The Grand Egyptian Museum marks a milestone for Egypt’s tourism, but without broader development, it risks becoming another fragile pillar of an uneven economy.

Amr Adly_

Will GEM deliver the promised tourism boom?

The High Cost of Low Prices| Egypt’s agricultural exports

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s booming farm exports mask hidden costs—massive water loss, underpaid labor, and cheap prices shaped by global competition and currency devaluation.

Osama Diab_

The High Cost of Low Prices| Egypt’s agricultural exports

The High Cost of Low Prices| What do we exchange when we trade?

Urban & Economy_

Unequal trade burdens poorer countries with heavy environmental and labor costs while yielding little value, but collective strategies could shift global pricing power.

Osama Diab_

The High Cost of Low Prices| What do we exchange when we trade?

When fuel hikes make the school bus a luxury

Urban & Economy_

Fuel price hikes are driving up school bus fees across Egypt, forcing parents to seek cheaper, and often riskier, alternatives as transport costs begin to rival tuition.

Safia Mounir_

When fuel hikes make the school bus a luxury

The gain and pain of raising interest rates

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s high-rate policy curbed inflation but strangled industry; IMF program ends in 2026, raising debate over future priorities.

Mohamed Gad_

The gain and pain of raising interest rates

Life after the IMF: An opportunity to think outside the Fund

Urban & Economy_

After a decade of IMF loans, Egypt faces life beyond the Fund. Will Gulf deals and industrial policy replace debt, or repeat unsustainable fixes?

Amr Adly_

Life after the IMF: An opportunity to think outside the Fund

Trump, BRICS, and China’s long game

Urban & Economy_

Trump’s tariffs and interventions have strained ties with BRICS states, leaving China space to lead the bloc and potentially reduce reliance on the US dollar.

Amr Adly_

Trump, BRICS, and China’s long game

Why accept the Israeli gas deal’s take-or-pay terms?

Urban & Economy_

Israel’s amended gas pact locks Egypt into take-or-pay imports until 2040, raising costs and dependence as local output lags and demand keeps rising.

Mahmoud Salem_

Why accept the Israeli gas deal’s take-or-pay terms?

How much have Kamel Al‑Wazir’s loans cost us?

Urban & Economy_

Some of Egypt’s major transport projects took on commercial-rate loans, raising questions about costs, priorities, and long-term debt risks.

Mohamed Ismail_

How much have Kamel Al‑Wazir’s loans cost us?

Who can afford a beach house on the ‘wicked coast’?

Urban & Economy_

Skyrocketing property prices on Egypt’s “wicked coast” raise fears of a looming bubble, as Gulf buyers, expats, and elites drive demand beyond most locals’ reach.

Safia Mounir_

Who can afford a beach house on the ‘wicked coast’?

The Cairo of gated communities

Urban & Economy_

Behind guarded walls, a new 'Egypt' rises—globalized, affluent, and detached—while the other 'Masr', bears the weight of exclusion, memory, and revolt.

Alaa Khaled_

The Cairo of gated communities

Dollar drain: Egypt’s government crowds out the private sector

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s public sector doubled its dollar borrowing from local banks, squeezing private firms and prompting fresh warnings from the IMF over rising fiscal risks.

Doaa Elsayed_

Dollar drain: Egypt’s government crowds out the private sector

Gauging poverty and its impacts

Urban & Economy_

Poverty in Egypt has surged to 35.7%, with rising prices, low wages, and school dropouts deepening inequality. This report examines causes, impacts, and needed reforms.

Elhamy Elmerghany_

Gauging poverty and its impacts

2.3 million in debt: Chasing relief in Egypt’s consumer credit boom

Urban & Economy_

With inflation high and incomes strained, millions of Egyptians are turning to consumer credit to meet basic needs—fueling a lending boom that’s as risky as it is necessary.

Safia Mounir_

2.3 million in debt: Chasing relief in Egypt’s consumer credit boom

Water, watts, and wealth: The quiet sell-off of essential services

Urban & Economy_

Egypt’s new laws open water and power sectors to private firms, raising debate over pricing, access, and whether essential services should be commodified.

Ahmed Albordeny_

Water, watts, and wealth: The quiet sell-off of essential services

The IMF’s half truths

Urban & Economy_

The IMF blames Egypt’s weak private investment on state crowding out—but ignores its own role in fueling instability through interest hikes and austerity.

Amr Adly_

The IMF’s half truths

Fast track to privatization: Who’s running Egypt’s trains?

Urban & Economy_

Egypt turns to private operators for its new rail lines, seeking to boost performance and revenue after state-run failures. But what does this mean for commuters?

Mohamed Ismail_

Fast track to privatization: Who’s running Egypt’s trains?

Corruption as leverage: How institutional weakness fuels neoliberalism

Urban & Economy_

Institutional weakness isn't a flaw in the neoliberal system—it's a feature. This analysis reveals how lax regulations and the informal economy create a "comparative advantage."

Osama Diab_

Corruption as leverage: How institutional weakness fuels neoliberalism

Sayyida Aisha Bridge: a failure easier to blame on the jinn

Urban & Economy_

Dubbed the “Bridge of Death,” Sayyida Aisha Bridge saw decades of crashes, myths, and official denial—until its long-overdue demolition was finally announced.

Mohamed El Kholy_

Sayyida Aisha Bridge: a failure easier to blame on the jinn

Sayyida Aisha Bridge: The curse of asphalt in the sky

Urban & Economy_

The cult of the overpass continues to grow, despite the imminent demolition of Sayyida Aisha bridge. Will potential benefits exclude locals in another touristic walkway?

Ezzat Elkamhawi_

Sayyida Aisha Bridge: The curse of asphalt in the sky

The hidden toll of Ras El-Hekma

Urban & Economy_

The Ras El-Hekma deal rewarded investors and the state while local Bedouin tribes stand to lose their lands, their social fabric and their traditional ways of living.

Loay Hesham_

The hidden toll of Ras El-Hekma

Food company revenues soar as bellies rumble

Urban & Economy_

Egypt's food companies maintain profits against a backdrop of high inflation and finance costs while consumers tighten their belts.

Asmaa Abdel-Alim_

Food company revenues soar as bellies rumble

Nasser Social Bank: Boosting profits or helping the poor?

Urban & Economy_

Commercial loans like car financing boost Nasser Social Bank’s profits, but they also compete with its core mission: offering affordable credit to low-income Egyptians.

Eslam Aly_

Nasser Social Bank: Boosting profits or helping the poor?